03 January 2010

Predictive Intelligence

The Fortune-Teller's Credibility


Iraq's a lost cause? Ask the real experts

When it comes to the future of Iraq, there is a deep disconnect between those who have firsthand knowledge of the situation—Iraqis and U.S. soldiers serving in Iraq—and those whose impressions are shaped by doomsday press coverage and the imperatives of domestic politics.

Is Iraq a Lost Cause?
Allow me to juxtapose the doom and gloom assessment of the New York Times with a different perspective.
The Arithmetic Of Failure
Iraq is a lost cause. It's just a matter of arithmetic: given the violence of the environment, with ethnic groups and rival militias at each other's throats, American forces there are large enough to suffer terrible losses, but far too small to stabilize the country.

The Chris Matthews Show
May 13, 2007
Ms. TUCKER: Chris, look for a revolt from active duty generals if September rolls around and the president is sticking with this surge into '08. We've already heard from retired generals, but my Atlanta Journal-Constitution colleague Jay Bookman has lots of sources among currently serving military officers who don't want to fall by the wayside like the generals in Vietnam did, kept pushing a war that they knew was lost.

MATTHEWS: So on duty, in uniform, they will criticize?

Ms. TUCKER: Absolutely.

MATTHEWS: Whoa, that's something.
The Road Home
It is time for the United States to leave Iraq, without any more delay than the Pentagon needs to organize an orderly exit.

Meanwhile, Back In Iraq

Atlanta Journal-Constitution writer awarded $75,000 to investigate media’s role in war